HALO II: Constraining Hubble constant $H_{0}$ through continuum delay fitting of Fairall 9

Abstract

The Hubble tension remains one of the most significant unresolved problems in modern cosmology. A key question is whether it may arise from underestimated systematic uncertainties in the different measurement techniques. In this context, new independent methods are of exceptional importance. We therefore pursue a novel approach to determining the Hubble constant, $H_{0}$ based on continuum time delay and spectral energy distribution (SED) modeling in active galactic nuclei (AGNs). Unlike conventional techniques, this method is entirely independent of the cosmic distance ladder and does not require cross-calibration against other distance indicators. As a result, it enables a direct determination of $H_{0}$, free from the arbitrary normalizations that often affect indirect measurements. We conducted a dedicated monitoring campaign of the Seyfert galaxy Fairall 9 and further developed the {\tt H0RIZON-AGN} model to interpret the resulting observations. The model incorporates the effects of radiation reprocessing in the surrounding cold accretion disk, enabling a more realistic description of the observed continuum delays. Through the simultaneous modeling of the continuum lag-spectrum and the broadband SED of Fairall 9, we derived a Hubble constant of $H_{0}=72.4_{-3.7}^{+3.4} \, \rm km \, s^{-1} \, Mpc^{-1}$. Achieving a measurement precision of approximately 5% from a single source demonstrates the considerable potential of this method for independent determinations of the Hubble constant. Our determination of $H_{0}$ is broadly consistent, within the current uncertainties, with both early- and late-Universe measurements. Future applications of the method to larger datasets, particularly those provided by the Vera Rubin Observatory, are expected to reduce the uncertainty to below 1%, thereby establishing this approach as a powerful independent probe of the Hubble tension.