On the Detectability of Volcanic Exo-Ios That May Fuel Auroras on Super-Jupiters

Abstract

Studies suggest Jupiter's aurorae are supplied with plasma from volcanic outflows on the planet's innermost moon, Io. Repeating bursts of radio emission thought to trace massively scaled-up analogs of Jupiter's aurorae have been detected around nearly a dozen isolated substellar worlds, yet the source of the electrons fueling the aurorae remains unknown. Volcanism from tidally heated exosatellites may provide the plasma that fuel the aurora on these worlds. We assess whether transit observations provide a viable means of detecting exosatellites around aurorally active substellar worlds, thereby enabling future tests of this hypothesis. Specifically, we analyze JWST near- and mid-infrared light curves of SIMP 0136+0933, a $12.7 M_J$ "super-Jupiter", known to exhibit auroral emission. We demonstrate the capability to detect exosatellites in the SIMP 0136+0933 system with satellite-to-host mass ratios comparable to those of Jupiter's Galilean moons, achieving detection success rates of 66% for Io-to-Jupiter mass ratio satellites and 93% for Ganymede-to-Jupiter mass ratio satellites. Although the existing light curve is sufficient to demonstrate that this technique is capable of detecting transiting exosatellites, the available archival data are too short in duration to place meaningful constraints on the presence of a transiting satellite in this system. We conclude that JWST light curves spanning $\sim$1.5 days for 4-12 known aurorally active super-Jupiters would be sufficient to yield evidence for or against this hypothesis. A small target sample may suffice, as short satellite periods boost transit probabilities and aurorally active worlds may be preferentially observed near edge-on inclinations.