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Levy-stable distributions revisited: tail index > 2 does not exclude the Levy-stable regime

Rafal Weron

cond-matarXiv:cond-mat/0103256

Abstract

Power-law tail behavior and the summation scheme of Levy-stable distributions is the basis for their frequent use as models when fat tails above a Gaussian distribution are observed. However, recent studies suggest that financial asset returns exhibit tail exponents well above the Levy-stable regime (0<α 2). In this paper we illustrate that widely used tail index estimates (log-log linear regression and Hill) can give exponents well above the asymptotic limit for α close to 2, resulting in overestimation of the tail exponent in finite samples. The reported value of the tail exponent α around 3 may very well indicate a Levy-stable distribution with α≈ 1.8.

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