Worse fluctuation method for fast Value-at-Risk estimates
Abstract
We show how one can actually take advantage of the strongly non-Gaussian nature of the fluctuations of financial assets to simplify the calculation of the Value-at-Risk of complex non linear portfolios. The resulting equations are not hard to solve numerically, and should allow fast VaR and estimates of large portfolios, where by construction the influence of rare events is taken into account reliably. Our method can be seen as a correctly probabilized `scenario' calculation (or `stress-testing').
0
Turn this paper into a full lesson
ArcXiv compiles a staged curriculum from this paper: 8-12 lessons across beginner → advanced, synthesised section guides, visuals, flashcards, a quiz, exercises, and on-demand deep dives per section. Grounded in the abstract, never invented.