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Spectral Theory and Limit Theorems for Geometrically Ergodic Markov Processes

Ioannis Kontoyiannis, Sean Meyn

math.PRarXiv:math/0209200

Abstract

Consider the partial sums St of a real-valued functional F(Phi(t)) of a Markov chain Phi(t) with values in a general state space. Assuming only that the Markov chain is geometrically ergodic and that the functional F is bounded, the following conclusions are obtained: 1. Spectral theory: Well-behaved solutions can be constructed for the ``multiplicative Poisson equation''. 2. A ``multiplicative'' mean ergodic theorem: For all complex αin a neighborhood of the origin, the normalized mean of (αSt) converges exponentially fast to a solution of the multiplicative Poisson equation. 3. Edgeworth Expansions: Rates are obtained for the convergence of the distribution function of the normalized partial sums St to the standard Gaussian distribution. 4. Large Deviations: The partial sums are shown to satisfy a large deviations principle in a neighborhood of the mean. This result, proved under geometric ergodicity alone, cannot in general be extended to the whole real line. 5. Exact Large Deviations Asymptotics: Rates of convergence are obtained for the large deviations estimates above. Extensions of these results to continuous-time Markov processes are also given.

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