Demographic trajectories for supercentenarians

Abstract

A fundamental question in aging research concerns the demographic trajectories at the highest ages, especially for supercentenarians (persons aged 110 or more). We wish to demonstrate that the Weon model enables scientists to describe the demographic trajectories for supercentenarians. We evaluate the average survival data from the modern eight countries and the valid and complete data for supercentenarians from the International Database on Longevity (Robine and Vaupel, (2002) North American Actuarial Journal 6, 54-63). The results suggest that the Weon model predicts the maximum longevity to exist around ages 120-130, which indicates that there is an intrinsic limit to human longevity, and that the Weon model allows the best possible description of the demographic trajectories for supercentenarians.