Dark Matter Weather: Probing Sub-GeV Interactions with Earth-Shielding Modulation

Abstract

Daily modulation from Earth shielding provides a powerful search handle for sub-GeV dark matter (DM) in low-threshold experiments. We use this effect as a probe of interaction structure in scenarios where DM couples to both electrons and nuclei. Nuclear scattering in the Earth alters the incident DM flux, while electron scattering produces the observable ionization signal, so the total rate and modulation pattern encode different aspects of the underlying interactions. We develop this two-interaction framework for argon and xenon targets and introduce a new statistical analysis that tests the modulation shape, including the location-dependent exposure of underground detectors to different Earth-crossing trajectories, alone and in combination with the ionization spectrum. We demonstrate the method for liquid-noble detectors at underground sites SURF (USA), LNGS (Italy), and SUPL (Australia), and apply it to DarkSide-50 data as a concrete case study. Our results show that Earth-scattering modulation can help disentangle electron and nuclear DM interactions and provide a validation handle for low-threshold liquid-noble searches.