Flow-by-Flow:Content-Judgment Bypass for Governing AI Output in High-Loss Domains
Hiroki Naito
Abstract
Prior work showed that human-in-the-loop oversight becomes structurally untenable in high-loss domains once AI output velocity V exceeds human cognitive capacity Cmax. The operative constraint, however, is V x L, where L is per-item cognitive load: triage, judgment, and response. These components respond asymmetrically to capability improvement. Triage cost does not decline, because semantic indeterminacy is inherent in general-purpose design. Response cost is invariant to accuracy. Only judgment cost faces downward pressure, largely by inducing omission. Capability improvement therefore restructures L rather than reducing it. We prove a proposition: if V x L grows at any positive compound rate while supervisory capacity grows linearly, exceedance occurs in finite time; capacity investment buys time only logarithmically, while reducing the growth rate extends it hyperbolically. Supervision enhancement and flow control are therefore not remedies of the same kind. We propose Flow-by-Flow, a governance design that prices supervisory load without evaluating content, intent, or legitimacy. A cognitive cost score built from formal, countable features imposes compounding costs on volume expansion, and an institutional capacity cap fixes processing within Cmax. Four design invariants characterize any admissible exceedance pathway: no content judgment, no scalable consumption of examiner capacity, identity-bound per-application friction, and no batch clearance. Excess claim and page fees in patent systems are precursors satisfying only the first two invariants. One reference implementation satisfying all four is presented. A Monte Carlo analysis across 1,000 parameter draws confirms that the analytically derived ordering survives the 30-year horizon in 90.8% of trials.
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