Opinion Dynamics with Memory Loss and Communication Delays

Abstract

We propose a novel framework for modeling binary opinions (0 or 1) of individuals connected through a weighted directed network, where edge weights quantify interpersonal influence. Unlike classical models that assume complete access to previously expressed opinions, our framework allows individuals to update their biases using structured memory sets that capture limited and delayed information exchange. To analyze these opinion differences, we introduce a mathematically tractable notion of relative bias between pairs of individuals. The relative biases evolve according to a linear update rule involving past expressed opinions specified by the memory sets. We define the belief of an individual as the probability of expressing opinion 1 and derive a time-delayed dynamical system governing the evolution of network beliefs. We establish its asymptotic behavior and characterize its properties. The framework is further extended to networks containing bots, which maintain fixed biases while influencing neighboring individuals. We quantify the effect of bots by comparing the fixed points of the dynamics in their presence and absence. Finally, simulations illustrate the influence of memory, network structure, and bot interactions on the resulting opinion dynamics.