Faithful, Sufficient and Understandable: Rethinking Graph Counterfactual Explanations via Discrete Diffusion Inversion

Abstract

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) achieve strong predictive performance on graph-structured data across domains such as chemistry, biology, and network analysis, yet they provide no intrinsic explanation of their predictions. This limits their adoption in high-stakes and safety-critical settings. Counterfactual explanations address this by revealing the minimal structural modifications that would change a model's prediction. On graphs, however, such a modification is hard to produce. The search space is discrete and combinatorial, and a valid answer must respect categorical node and edge types together with domain rules such as chemical valency in the case of molecular graphs. Existing explainers give up one of two things. Either edits are not held on the data manifold, or the search does not span the full edit space. We propose Graph Diffusion Counterfactual Explanation via Inversion (GDCE-I), which gives up neither. A discrete denoising diffusion model with a novel discrete inversion scheme enables distribution-aware edits leveraging the whole domain edit space. We further address the incomplete and inconsistent evaluation of graph counterfactuals by deriving a framework of explanation desiderata and applying it to every method under one shared protocol. Across four benchmarks, GDCE-I outperforms related work by a large margin on the defined framework. For the molecular domain, we further qualitatively show that GDCE-I attains interpretable in-distribution solutions.