On the Structural Limits of Machine Learning Decision Systems: An Information-Theoretic, Interaction-Based, and Stochastic-Dynamical Perspective
Nestor R. Barraza, Gabriel Pena
Abstract
Machine learning procedures are commonly evaluated in terms of predictive accuracy and computational efficiency. However, their achievable performance is fundamentally constrained by structural properties of the underlying data-generating process, which are formalized in terms of informational bounds. In this work we examine intrinsic limits of data-driven decision systems from an information-theoretic and interaction-based perspective. We analyze minimal achievable error in classification through Fano-type bounds and precision limits in parametric estimation via the Cramér-Rao inequality, emphasizing that such limits depend on the underlying model rather than on algorithmic sophistication alone. We further discuss how implicit assumptions, such as independence, ergodicity, and distributional stability, affect the validity of inferential procedures. Building on interaction-based modeling principles, we review typical frameworks such as Markov Random Fields and potential based representations for encoding dependence mechanisms. We also describe decision systems, including LLM-integrated agent architectures, as feedback-driven stochastic processes where state-dependent dynamics may induce emergent macroscopic behavior. This perspective highlights the importance of having adequate models for the data as a prerequi- site for expanding predictive capability, and situates algorithmic learning within the informational limits imposed by the models.
Create a lesson
Related papers
Minimax optimality for sequential gradient-free minimization of smooth functions and their derivatives
Théo Paquier, Alexandre B Tsybakov, François Portier et al.
Randomization Inference with Concentration Inequalities
Tobias Freidling
On the continuity of the Tukey depth function for fuzzy data
Luis González-De La Fuente, Alicia Nieto-Reyes, Pedro Terán
Recursive-Head Geometry and Order-Free Efficient Inference in Finite-State Nested Markov Models
Haoyu Wei
Finite-Sample Hausdorff Bounds and Hadamard Sensitivity for Regressions with MNAR Covariates
Hugo Dunias
Semiparametric Efficient Inference under Non-Informative Complex Survey Designs
Hiroki Chiba, Kosuke Morikawa