Dormancy stabilizes non-transitive competitive dynamics
José Chacón, Adrián González-Casanova, Imanol Nuñez, Rafael Peña-Miller, José Luis Pérez, Johnny Yang
Abstract
Competitive interactions can maintain diversity, yet coexistence is often fragile in well-mixed populations, where stochastic fluctuations can lead to extinction. This is the case in non-transitive systems, such as rock-paper-scissors dynamics, where no single type dominates globally. While spatial structure can stabilize these systems by providing refuges in space, it remains unclear whether analogous mechanisms can operate in time in well-mixed environments. Here, we develop a population-genetic framework showing that dormancy can act as a temporal refuge, preserving lineages and preventing collapse to fixation under interaction-driven fluctuations. We introduce a discrete-time Wright-Fisher model that combines generalized seed-banks with frequency-dependent interactions, allowing individuals to inherit their type from potential parents sampled across multiple past generations. This construction provides a tractable framework in which dormancy stores and later reintroduces lost types. In the case of either weak or moderate selection, we prove a multidimensional diffusion limit for the resulting type-frequency process and use it to analyze complex selective interactions. In non-transitive systems, dormancy stabilizes trajectories that would otherwise collapse through stochastic extinction, extends fixation times, and sustains coexistence. These effects cannot be explained solely by an increase in effective population size. Our results show that dormancy introduces temporal memory that qualitatively alters competitive dynamics, stabilizing otherwise fragile systems and enabling long-term coexistence.
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