From Kriging to Spatial AI: Fifty Years of Spatial Statistics for Complex Dependent Data

Abstract

Spatial statistics has grown from kriging for spatial prediction into a broad framework for learning from complex dependent data. This article traces that development from random fields and spectral methods to Bayesian hierarchical models and scalable computation. It then connects these foundations to Spatial AI, where graph learning and neural networks are being adapted to spatially dependent data. The article introduces the main ideas behind kriging and nonstationarity and explains how data fusion and uncertainty quantification extend spatial inference to more complex settings. The central contribution is a unified account of how these developments lead naturally to new forms of Spatial AI. Rather than treating spatial statistics and machine learning as separate traditions, we show how both learn from dependence while preserving interpretable structure. We also examine how spatial geometry and physical knowledge can guide flexible representation learning and support scientifically meaningful prediction.