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Techno-Economic Analysis of Repurposing Abandoned Oil Wells for Geothermal Energy Extraction Using Physics-Informed Neural Networks

Hung-Yu Lin, Kuan-Chun Shih, Lea-Der Chen

cs.CEarXiv:2608.21092

Abstract

To achieve net-zero targets by 2050, it is critical to diversify renewable energy. Hydropower, wind, and solar energy dominate; geothermal energy remains underutilized. Conventional Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) rely on hydraulic stimulation, which poses risks such as induced seismicity. To address this, Closed-Loop Geothermal Systems (CLGS) circulate working fluids in sealed tubing to avoid direct reservoir contact, making them a potential solution for repurposing idle oil wells without environmental hazards. This study developed a Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN) to model the CLGS performance. Unlike traditional neural networks, PINN explicitly embeds governing physical equations into their learning processes, such as heat conduction and convection. This integration enabled the model to accurately predict the wellbore temperature and flow characteristics over a 25-year lifespan, even with sparse training data. The simulation results confirmed stable long-term predictions. When coupled with an Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) model, the system yielded a thermodynamic efficiency of 9.5%. Crucially, several economic indicators (e.g., DPP, NPV, and LCOE) are conducted to evaluate the investment feasibility and economic potential of the proposed CLGS-based power generation system. This proposed framework provides a scalable, physics-consistent tool for evaluating both technical performance and economic returns, offering a robust pathway to accelerate geothermal adoption.

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