Electroweak and Single Top-Quark Conspiracy in Current LHC Data

Abstract

Recent LHC measurements of electroweak single top-quark and top-quark associated Higgs boson production show a number of rate shifts, while related multiboson channels remain close to their Standard Model predictions. Gauge symmetry relates these processes such that deviations can be organised as the low-energy imprint of a common ultraviolet origin. A Standard Model Effective Field Theory (SMEFT) analysis of these rates together with $Z$-pole observables identifies the pattern: a weak top dipole and a triple-gauge deformation carry the largest pulls, accompanied by a positive left-handed top-quark current. An acceptable fit is also obtained with the pure triple-gauge coefficient set to zero. We then ask whether a gauge-invariant model can produce this set of operators and still pass the numerous constraints from experimental data. Within weakly coupled renormalisable matching, no single scalar, vector or vector-like-quark multiplet is sufficient to reproduce the full pattern. A minimal possibility is a multi-threshold vector-like-quark sector (a singlet, a doublet and two triplets) whose currents arise at tree level, while the dipole requires additional loop dynamics that the current sector does not fix. A representative realisation, confronted with direct, indirect and flavour constraints, points to correlated measurements of electroweak single top-quark production, improved $tH$ and $t \bar t H$ sensitivity, and updated searches for vector-like quarks.