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A note on shifting distributions via Poisson races

Amir Yehudayoff

math.PRarXiv:2608.26996

Abstract

This expository note is about simulating a target distribution Q from observations of a proposal distribution P. In the model suggested by Harsha, Jain, McAllester and Radhakrishnan, we observe an infinite sequence of i.i.d. samples X1,X2,… from P. The goal is to find some index I ∈ \1,2,…\ such that XI is distributed like Q while minimizing E I. Following the Poisson-race approach developed by Maddison, Li and El Gamal, and others, this note shows that if D(Q||P) < ∞ then there is a P to Q simulator I such that E [ I] ≤ D(Q||P) + 1.45 \|Q-P\|1. In the other direction, for every P to Q simulator I, the cost is at least E[ I] ≥ 12 \ D(Q||P), \|Q-P\|1 \.

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