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Extinction and extinguishment properties for a nonlinear predator-prey branching model

Lina Ji, Jie Xiong, Wen Xu, Xu Yang

math.PRarXiv:2608.30178

Abstract

We study extinction and extinguishment in a two-type continuous-state nonlinear branching model driven by Brownian branching noise and spectrally positive stable jumps. The populations are subject to nonlinear self-regulation and a mixed-sign predator--prey interaction: the second promotes the first, whereas the first suppresses the second. Two complementary structures are developed. An exact power--logarithmic cancellation functional removes the interaction drifts and yields stochastic Lyapunov estimates, nonexplosion, and boundary criteria. In the multiplicative regimes, integrating-factor identities and geometric Lévy factorizations express extinction through weighted exposure clocks and reduce the long-time analysis to effective decay rates. These methods yield almost-sure extinction criteria and identify a regime in which finite-time extinction and nonextinction coexist. On nonextinction, both populations remain positive at all finite times and converge jointly to zero, exhibiting joint extinguishment rather than positive persistence.

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