Universal murmuration and Hecke augmentation

Abstract

Prime coefficients of elliptic curves exhibit murmurations, statistical patterns that support the prediction of arithmetic labels. We conjecture that root number weighted averages of unitary normalized coefficients at primes and prime powers sample the same leading profile when placed at the effective position $p^k/X$, where $X$ is the conductor scale. For weight $2$ newforms of squarefree level in the level aspect, we prove this principle for every fixed $k$ under suitable short-window and growth conditions, extending Zubrilina's prime case and the square-case analysis of Kundu and Müller. Experiments with elliptic curve isogeny class representatives show that the resulting prime power features improve root number prediction and give a smaller gain in distinguishing ranks $0$ and $1$.