Synchronization Pathways and Resilience in Power Grids

Abstract

Ensuring a sustainable energy supply requires maintaining power-grid stability. Rotor dynamics are governed by the swing equation, which takes the form of a second-order Kuramoto model with a correlation between power and total coupling strength. Yet the microscopic mechanisms that nucleate and propagate synchronized clusters remain poorly understood. Using a minimal model motivated by empirical grid data and the \Adhoc potential method, we reveal two distinct seed cluster types and propagation pathways: a population-driven seed cluster at the center of the power distribution propagating to its tails by rotor accretion, and, for a symmetric distribution, coupling-driven seed clusters at its tails propagating inward to the center by cluster merger. These differences generate distinct order-parameter patterns, while inertia controls whether the seed clusters persist with distinct angular velocities. The same propagation pathways also govern recovery following external disturbances. We further confirm that the same selection--persistence rule holds in data-derived annealed representations of European power grids. Therefore, our results can inform strategies for sustaining stable power-grid operation. More generally, our pathway-based framework reframes synchronization by emphasizing the dynamics of cluster formation and recovery rather than relying solely on static criteria.