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Pointwise Majorization for sub-Weibull and Mixed Tail Processes with Applications in Quadratic Chaos and Ergodic Diffusions

Haichen Hu, David Simchi-Levi

math.PRarXiv:2609.01576

Abstract

Classical chaining controls an indexed stochastic process through a single worst-case bound, which can obscure substantial variation across the index set. We establish the first simultaneous pointwise majorization theory for Banach-valued processes with sub-Weibull or two-metric mixed-tail increments. For an anchored sub-Weibull process on a separable index space, write v(t):=d(t,t0). Given a reference measure μ, the envelope at t is governed by the pointwise Fernique-Talagrand functional of order α, Φμ,d(α)(t):=∫04v(t)(1μ(Bd(t,r)))1/αdr. ∀ δ∈(0,1), we obtain that P(\|Zt\|\Φμ,d(α)(t)+v(t)((e/δ))1/α\,∀ t) 1-δ. Our bound is determined by the pointwise complexity Φμ,d(α) rather than a global quantity. The result holds for every α>0 and does not involve dyadic logarithmic terms from peeling. For mixed tail processes, with fixed measures μ1,μ2 and vj(t):=dj(t,t0), Φj(t):=∫04vj(t)(1μj(Bdj(t,r)))1/αjdr, j=1,2, for any δ∈(0,1), we show that P(\|Zt\|Σj=12\Φj(t)+vj(t)(eδ)1/αj\,∀ t) 1-δ. Although the two regimes are coupled in the mixed tail condition, each retains its own pseudo-metric, reference measure, pointwise Fernique-Talagrand functional, and tail exponent. The proof tracks the index-wise costs of measure-generated admissible chains and synchronizes them through a nested common refinement. For applications, we derive matrix-specific bounds for centered quadratic chaos under pseudo-metrics induced by the operator and Frobenius norms, and observable-specific finite-time bounds for diffusion empirical processes.

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