Three-Dimensional Simulation of Flood Propagation at Syabrubesi, Nepal

Abstract

Three-dimensional flood propagation through the Bhote Koshi--Langtang Khola junction at Syabrubesi, Nepal, is studied using an incompressible free-surface model. The calculation is motivated by the August 2026 flood and examines the passage of an imposed inflow through the local bends and changes in channel width. The Navier--Stokes equations and an interface transport equation are solved on unstructured tetrahedral meshes constructed from pre-event terrain data. For an inlet speed of $10\,\mathrm{m\,s^{-1}}$, the solution indicates surface speeds above $40\,\mathrm{m\,s^{-1}}$. The advancing front spreads across the junction; as the flow develops, water deepens and slows around the bend. Higher speeds persist in the confined upstream and downstream regions.