Reaction-Diffusion-Branching Models of Stock Price Fluctuations
Lei-Han Tang, Guang-Shan Tian
Abstract
Several models of stock trading [P. Bak et al, Physica A 246, 430 (1997)] are analyzed in analogy with one-dimensional, two-species reaction-diffusion-branching processes. Using heuristic and scaling arguments, we show that the short-time market price variation is subdiffusive with a Hurst exponent H=1/4. Biased diffusion towards the market price and blind-eyed copying lead to crossovers to the empirically observed random-walk behavior (H=1/2) at long times. The calculated crossover forms and diffusion constants are shown to agree well with simulation data.
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