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Alternatives to the neoBayesian Theorem, avoiding several of its inconsistencies: The rMPE-Method

Rainer Gottlob

math.STarXiv:math/0501134

Abstract

Some drawbacks of the formalism of Bayes Theorem can be avoided by the rMPE-Method, a modification of the cMPE-Method that permits (i): Adding probabilities in spite of non-linearity. (ii): Taking into account extensional evidence and weight-bearing evidence that are mutually dependent, but opposed in their effects. (iii): Arriving at higher probabilities than by Bayes Theorem and (iv): Confirming also hypotheses that imply certain evidence.

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