Year-ahead Prediction of Hurricane Season Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic
Jonathan Meagher, Stephen Jewson
Abstract
One possible method for the year-ahead prediction of hurricane numbers would be to make a year-ahead prediction of sea surface temperature (SST), and then to apply relationships that link SST to hurricane numbers. As a first step towards setting up such a system this article compares three simple statistical methods for the year-ahead prediction of the relevant SSTs.
Create a lesson
Related papers
Bridging short- and medium-range weather forecasting with machine learning
Timothy A. Smith, Mariah Pope, Sergey Frolov et al.
Detectability of Forced ENSO Changes under Global Warming: Insights from the Recharge Oscillator
Sooman Han, Jérôme Vialard, Alexey V. Fedorov et al.
When Does Forecast-Error Energy Grow Logistically in Geophysical Turbulence?
Malaquias Peña
A place for stabilization alongside tipping cascades: the AMOC-cryosphere system
Sacha Sinet
Missing the Butterfly and Predicting the Past: Features or Bugs of Accurate AI Weather Models?
Pedram Hassanzadeh, Weidong Li, Y. Qiang Sun et al.
AICON: An operational global machine learning weather forecasting model
Tobias Goecke, Marek Jacob, Florian Prill et al.