Statistics of infections with diversity in the pathogenicity
F. Guinea, V. A. A. Jansen, N. Stollenwerk
Abstract
The statistics of outbreaks in a model for the propagation of meningococcal diseases is analyzed, taking into account the possibility that the population is fragmented into weakly connected patches. It is shown that, depending on the size of of the sample studied, the ratio between the variance and the mean of infected cases can vary from one (Poisson statistics) to the inverse of the infection rate.
Create a lesson
Related papers
Leaky protection reveals three patterns in the relative advantages of vaccination strategies across transmission intensity
Yiwen Xing, Jianyi Zhang, Haoliang Cui et al.
A minimal model for rate-induced tipping to extinction
Brian Hennessy, Nikola Popović, Zak Sattar
The Role of Tick Questing Behavior and Host-Finding Success in Borrelia burgdorferi Transmission in the Eastern United States
Carli Peterson, Erika Gallo, Christopher M. Kribs
The Hill numbers synthesize and generalize measures of trait polygenicity
Maike L. Morrison
Stochasticity and Environmental Switching Shape Quorum Sensing Evolution in Bacterial Populations
Uttam Kumar, Hong-Yan Shih
Mathematical statistics of wild mammal biomass
Klaus M. Frahm, Dima L. Shepelyansky, José Lages