Comments on Likelihood fits with variable resolutionUnbinned likelihood fits are frequent in Physics, and often involve complex functions with several components. We discuss the potential pitfalls of situations where the templates used in the fit are…Giovanni Punzi·Jan 10, 2004SaveLearn
Asymmetric ErrorsErrors quoted on results are often given in asymmetric form. An account is given of the two ways these can arise in an analysis, and the combination of asymmetric errors is discussed. It is shown…Roger Barlow·Jan 10, 2004SaveLearn
Pouzyry: a novel class of algorithms for restoring a function from a random sampleA novel class of algorithms for restoring a function from a random sample is based on the concept of weak convergence, borrows algorithmic solutions from the Optimal Jet Finder (hep-ph/0301185),…F. V. Tkachov·Jan 6, 2004SaveLearn
The CAVES Project - Exploring Virtual Data Concepts for Data AnalysisThe Collaborative Analysis Versioning Environment System (CAVES) project concentrates on the interactions between users performing data and/or computing intensive analyses on large data sets, as…Dimitri Bourilkov·Jan 4, 2004SaveLearn
Dynamic Models and Nonlinear Filtering of Wave Propagation in Random FieldsIn this paper, a general model of wireless channels is established based on the physics of wave propagation. Then the problems of inverse scattering and channel prediction are formulated as nonlinear…Haiqing Wei·Jan 1, 2004SaveLearn
How to Claim a DiscoveryWe describe a statistical hypothesis test for the presence of a signal. The test allows the researcher to fix the signal location and/or width a priori, or perform a search to find the signal region…Wolfgang Rolke, Angel Lopez·Dec 24, 2003SaveLearn
Entropic PriorsThe method of Maximum (relative) Entropy (ME) is used to translate the information contained in the known form of the likelihood into a prior distribution for Bayesian inference. The argument is…Ariel Caticha, Roland Preuss·Dec 22, 2003SaveLearn
Blind Analysis in Particle PhysicsA review of the blind analysis technique, as used in particle physics measurements, is presented. The history of blind analyses in physics is briefly discussed. Next the dangers of…Aaron Roodman·Dec 17, 2003SaveLearn
Constructing Ensembles of Pseudo-ExperimentsThe frequentist interpretation of measurement results requires the specification of an ensemble of independent replications of the same experiment. For complex calculations of bias, coverage,…Luc Demortier·Dec 16, 2003SaveLearn
Likelihood inference in the presence of nuisance parametersWe describe some recent approaches to likelihood based inference in the presence of nuisance parameters. Our approach is based on plotting the likelihood function and the p-value function, using…N. Reid, D. A. S. Fraser·Dec 11, 2003SaveLearn
Measures of Significance in HEP and AstrophysicsI compare and discuss critically several measures of statistical significance in common use in astrophysics and in high energy physics. I also exhibit some relationships among them.J. T. Linnemann·Dec 9, 2003SaveLearn
Challenges in Moving the LEP Higgs Statistics to the LHCWe examine computational, conceptual, and philosophical issues in moving the statistical techniques used in the LEP Higgs working group to the LHC.K. S. Cranmer, B. Mellado, W. Quayle et al.·Dec 8, 2003SaveLearn
Predictability of Volcano Eruption: lessons from a basaltic effusive volcanoVolcano eruption forecast remains a challenging and controversial problem despite the fact that data from volcano monitoring significantly increased in quantity and quality during the last…J. -R. Grasso, I. Zaliapin·Dec 5, 2003SaveLearn
Sensitivity of searches for new signals and its optimizationA frequentist definition of sensitivity of a search for new phenomena is discussed, that has several useful properties. It is based on completely standard concepts, is generally applicable, and has a…Giovanni Punzi·Dec 4, 2003SaveLearn
An Unbinned Goodness-of-Fit Test Based on the Random WalkWe describe a test statistic for unbinned goodness-of-fit of data in one dimension. The statistic is based on the two-dimensional Random Walk. The rejection power of this test is explored both for…K. Kinoshita·Dec 3, 2003SaveLearn
Deviations of the distributions of seismic energies from the Gutenberg-Richter lawA new non-parametric statistic is introduced for the characterization of deviations from power laws. It is tested on the distribution of seismic energies given by the Gutenberg-Richter law. Based on…V. Pisarenko, D. Sornette, M. Rodkin·Dec 3, 2003SaveLearn
Introduction to Statistical Issues in Particle PhysicsAn account is given of the methods of working of Experimental High Energy Particle Physics, from the viewpoint of statisticians and others unfamiliar with the field. Current statistical problems,…Roger Barlow·Nov 20, 2003SaveLearn
Relative Entropy and Inductive InferenceWe discuss how the method of maximum entropy, MaxEnt, can be extended beyond its original scope, as a rule to assign a probability distribution, to a full-fledged method for inductive inference. The…Ariel Caticha·Nov 19, 2003SaveLearn
Statistical Issues in Particle Physics -- A View from BaBarThe statistical methods used in deriving physics results in the BaBar collaboration are reviewed, with especial emphasis on areas where practice is not uniform in particle physics.Frank C. Porter·Nov 18, 2003SaveLearn
Bayesian Wavelet Based Signal and Image SeparationIn this contribution, we consider the problem of blind source separation in a Bayesian estimation framework. The wavelet representation allows us to assign an adequate prior distribution to the…Mahieddine M. Ichir, Ali Mohammad-Djafari·Nov 7, 2003SaveLearn
Temperature and pressure in nonextensive thermostatisticsThe definitions of the temperature in the nonextensive statistical thermodynamics based on Tsallis entropy are analyzed. A definition of pressure is proposed for nonadditive systems by using a…Qiuping A. Wang, Laurent Nivanen, Alain Le Mehaute et al.·Nov 7, 2003SaveLearn
Peak finding through Scan StatisticsWe discuss the conditions under which Scan Statistics can be fruitfully implemented to signal a departure from the underlying probability model that describes the experimental data. It is shown that…F. Terranova·Nov 5, 2003SaveLearn
Pitfalls of Goodness-of-Fit from LikelihoodThe value of the likelihood is occasionally used by high energy physicists as a statistic to measure goodness-of-fit in unbinned maximum likelihood fits. Simple examples are presented that illustrate…Joel Heinrich·Oct 31, 2003SaveLearn
Stochastic analysis of surface roughnessFor the characterization of surface height profiles we present a new stochastic approach which is based on the theory of Markov processes. With this analysis we achieve a characterization of the…M. Waechter, F. Riess, H. Kantz et al.·Oct 30, 2003SaveLearn
Stochastic analysis of road surface roughnessThis paper was withdrawn by the authors due to significant new findings. A new paper on the same topic has been submitted as physics/0310159.M. Waechter, F. Riess, H. Kantz et al.·Oct 30, 2003SaveLearn