Exact asymptotic equivalence between precisions of record-times and integrated currents

Abstract

We establish an exact equivalence between the fluctuations of integrated currents and the temporal statistics of current record events in continuous-time Markov jump processes. Specifically, we show that, under minimal assumptions, the Fano factor of an integrated current coincides exactly with the squared coefficient of variation of the inter-record waiting times. This result is obtained by showing that inter-record times induce a renewal structure, since each record event resets the system to a fixed state, and that their generating function can be expressed exactly in terms of a combinatorial organization governed by Narayana numbers. The equivalence extends previous results obtained for unicyclic networks to arbitrary finite-state graphs and provides a unified representation of current fluctuations in terms of record-time observables. The results are derived within a purely probabilistic framework and clarify the structural origin of current precision in terms of first-passage-like event statistics.