Follow-up of SN 2025wny VI: The Rate and Detectable Population of Strongly Lensed SLSNe-I in ZTF
Jacob O. Hjortlund, Edvard Mörtsell, Ariel Goobar, Joel Johansson, Avinash Singh, Alice Townsend, Erin E. Hayes, Maggie L. Li, Steve Schulze, Suhail Dhawan, Jakob Nordin, Aleksandra Bochenek, Chiara Ventura, Conor M. B. Omand, Jacob L. Wise, Jesper Sollerman
Abstract
The Type I superluminous supernova (SLSN-I) SN 2025wny, multiply imaged by two foreground galaxies at zl = 0.375, is the first confirmed strongly lensed SLSN and the highest-redshift (zs = 2.015) multiply imaged supernova in a galaxy-scale configuration. We ask whether one discovery in seven years of Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) operations is consistent with expectations, and whether SN 2025wny is typical of the detectable population. We develop a forward simulation of strongly lensed SLSNe-I in ZTF, combining an empirically calibrated volumetric rate and luminosity function with a galaxy-scale deflector population, unresolved lensed light curves, and the actual ZTF observing history. We predict 0.037+0.022-0.020\, yr-1, consistent with the rate of 0.14+0.31-0.11\, yr-1 inferred from a single discovery in seven years of ZTF operations. Conditioning the simulation on discovery by ZTF corrects the magnifications and intrinsic luminosity of SN 2025wny for Malmquist- and magnification biases: the debiased peak bolometric luminosity, 10(L bol,int/ erg\,s-1) = 44.60+0.05-0.10, places it at the 97th percentile of the assumed SLSNe-I luminosity function. SN 2025wny is typical of the detectable population in redshift, luminosity, and magnification, but its 4.9'' image separation exceeds single-galaxy deflector expectations, implying our rates are conservative for wide-separation systems.
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