Millisecond and Binary Pulsars as Nature's Frequency Standards. III. Fourier Analysis and Spectral Sensitivity of Timing Observations to Low-Frequency NoiseMillisecond and binary pulsars are the most stable natural frequency standards which admits to introduce modified versions of universal and ephemeris time scales based correspondingly on the…Sergei M. Kopeikin, Vladimir A. Potapov·Dec 30, 1998SaveLearn
Improved Probability Method for Estimating Signal in the Presence of BackgroundA suggestion is made for improving the Feldman Cousins method of estimating signal counts in the presence of background. The method concentrates on finding essential information about the signal and…Byron P. Roe, Michael B. Woodroofe·Dec 18, 1998SaveLearn
The Signal Estimator Limit Setting MethodA new method of background subtraction is presented which uses the concept of a signal estimator to construct a confidence level which is always conservative and which is never better than e-s. The…S. Jin, P. McNamara·Dec 17, 1998SaveLearn
Lifetimes of agents under external stressAn exact formula for the distribution of lifetimes in coherent-noise models and related models is derived. For certain stress distributions, this formula can be analytically evaluated and yields…Claus O. Wilke, Thomas Martinetz·Dec 9, 1998SaveLearn
Bayesian reasoning versus conventional statistics in High Energy PhysicsThe intuitive reasoning of physicists in conditions of uncertainty is closer to the Bayesian approach than to the frequentist ideas taught at University and which are considered the reference…G. D'Agostini·Nov 24, 1998SaveLearn
Jeffreys priors versus experienced physicist priors - arguments against objective Bayesian theoryI review the problem of the choice of the priors from the point of view of a physicist interested in measuring a physical quantity, and I try to show that the reference priors often recommended for…G. D'Agostini·Nov 23, 1998SaveLearn
New Physics Discovery Potential in Future ExperimentsWe propose a method to estimate the probability of new physics discovery in future high energy physics experiments. Physics simulation gives both the average numbers <Nb> of background and <Ns> of…S. I. Bityukov, N. V. Krasnikov·Nov 15, 1998SaveLearn
Millisecond and Binary Pulsars as Nature's Frequency Standards. II. Effects of Low-Frequency Timing Noise on Residuals and Measured ParametersPulsars are the most stable natural frequency standards. They can be applied to a number of principal problems of modern astronomy and time-keeping metrology. The full exploration of pulsar…Sergei M. Kopeikin·Nov 6, 1998SaveLearn
Depth Profile Reconstruction from Rutherford Backscattering DataAn adaptive kernel method in the Bayesian framework together with a new simulation program for Rutherford backscattering spectroscopy (RBS) have been applied to the analysis of RBS data. Even in the…U. V. Toussaint, K. Krieger, R. Fischer et al.·Nov 2, 1998SaveLearn
Detecting periodicity in experimental data using linear modeling techniquesFourier spectral estimates and, to a lesser extent, the autocorrelation function are the primary tools to detect periodicities in experimental data in the physical and biological sciences. We propose…Michael Small, Kevin Judd·Oct 13, 1998SaveLearn
Estimating probability densities from short samples: a parametric maximum likelihood approachA parametric method similar to autoregressive spectral estimators is proposed to determine the probability density function (pdf) of a random set. The method proceeds by maximizing the likelihood of…T. Dudok de Wit, E. Floriani·Oct 12, 1998SaveLearn
On Observability of Signal over BackgroundSeveral statistics used by physicists to declare the signal observability over the background are compared. It is shown that the frequentist method of testing a precise hypothesis allows one to…S. I. Bityukov, N. V. Krasnikov·Sep 26, 1998SaveLearn
Objections to the Unified Approach to the Computation of Classical Confidence LimitsConventional classical confidence intervals in specific cases are unphysical. A solution to this problem has recently been published by Feldman and Cousins. We show that there are cases where the new…Günter Zech·Sep 24, 1998SaveLearn
Information content in Gaussian noise: optimal compression ratesWe approach the theoretical problem of compressing a signal dominated by Gaussian noise. We present expressions for the compression ratio which can be reached, under the light of Shannon's…August Romeo, Enrique Gaztanaga, Jose Barriga et al.·Sep 3, 1998SaveLearn
Towards the Observation of Signal over Background in Future ExperimentsWe propose a method to estimate the probability of new physics discovery in future high energy physics experiments. Physics simulation gives both the average numbers <Nb> of background and <Ns>…S. I. Bityukov, N. V. Krasnikov·Aug 13, 1998SaveLearn
Unreal Probabilities: Partial Truth with Clifford NumbersThis paper introduces and studies the basic properties of Clifford algebra valued conditional measures.Carlos C. Rodriguez·Aug 10, 1998SaveLearn
Are We Cruising a Hypothesis Space?This paper is about Information Geometry, a relatively new subject within mathematical statistics that attempts to study the problem of inference by using tools from modern differential geometry.…Carlos C. Rodriguez·Aug 10, 1998SaveLearn
Continuous Probability Distributions from Finite DataRecent approaches to the problem of inferring a continuous probability distribution from a finite set of data have used a scalar field theory for the form of the prior probability distribution. This…David M. Schmidt·Aug 7, 1998SaveLearn
A new method for numerical inversion of the Laplace transformA formula of Doetsch ( Math. Zeitschr. 42, 263 (1937)) is generalized and used to numerically invert the one-sided Laplace transform C(β). The necessary input is only the values…Bruno Huepper, Eli Pollak·Jul 28, 1998SaveLearn
On the determination of probability density functions by using Neural NetworksIt is well known that the output of a Neural Network trained to disentangle between two classes has a probabilistic interpretation in terms of the a-posteriori Bayesian probability, provided that a…Lluis Garrido, Aurelio Juste·Jul 14, 1998SaveLearn
Hierarchical noise in large systems of independent agentsA generalization of the coherent-noise models [M. E. J. Newman and K. Sneppen, Phys. Rev. E54, 6226 (1996)] is presented where the agents in the model are subjected to a multitude of stresses,…Claus Wilke, Thomas Martinetz·May 22, 1998SaveLearn
Using projections and correlations to approximate probability distributionsA method to approximate continuous multi-dimensional probability density functions (PDFs) using their projections and correlations is described. The method is particularly useful for event…Dean Karlen·May 13, 1998SaveLearn
Cross Validated Non parametric Bayesianism by Markov Chain Monte CarloCompletely automatic and adaptive non-parametric inference is a pie in the sky. The frequentist approach, best exemplified by the kernel estimators, has excellent asymptotic characteristics but it is…Carlos C. Rodriguez·Dec 19, 1997SaveLearn
Characteristic functions and process identification by neural networksPrincipal component analysis (PCA) algorithms use neural networks to extract the eigenvectors of the correlation matrix from the data. However, if the process is non-Gaussian, PCA algorithms or their…Joaquim A. Dente, R. Vilela Mendes·Dec 17, 1997SaveLearn
Non-commutative time-frequency tomographyThe characterization of non-stationary signals requires joint time and frequency information. However, time (t) and frequency (omega) being non-commuting variables there cannot be a joint probability…V. I. Man'ko, R. Vilela Mendes·Dec 12, 1997SaveLearn