Reactions to extreme events: moving threshold modelIn spite of precautions to avoid the harmful effects of extreme events, we experience recurrently phenomena that overcome the preventive barriers. These barriers usually increase drastically right…Eduardo G. Altmann, Sarah Hallerberg, Holger Kantz·Aug 23, 2005SaveLearn
Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis of Sunspot Time SeriesWe use multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA), to See query 1 study sunspot number fluctuations. The result of the MF-DFA shows that there are three crossover timescales in the…M. Sadegh Movahed, G. R. Jafari, F. Ghasemi et al.·Aug 20, 2005SaveLearn
Automated Chirp Detection with Diffusion Entropy: Application to Infrasound from SpritesWe study the performance of three different methods to automatically detect a chirp in background noise. (1) The standard deviation detector uses the computation of the signal to noise ratio. (2) The…M. Ignaccolo, T. Farges, E. Blanc et al.·Aug 19, 2005SaveLearn
Stealth Communication: Zero-Power Classical Communication, Zero-Quantum Quantum Communication and Environmental-Noise CommunicationAn alternative physical way of communication, communication by the inherent background noise, is proposed which does not need net energy transfer in the information channel. The communicator devices…Laszlo B. Kish·Aug 18, 2005SaveLearn
Trend followers lose more often than they gainWe solve exactly a simple model of trend following strategy, and obtain the analytical shape of the profit per trade distribution. This distribution is non trivial and has an option like, asymmetric…Marc Potters, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud·Aug 16, 2005SaveLearn
On correlations and fractal characteristics of time seriesCorrelation analysis is convenient and frequently used tool for investigation of time series from complex systems. Recently new methods such as the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA)…Nikolay K. Vitanov, kenschi Sakai, Elka D. Yankulova·Aug 12, 2005SaveLearn
Neighborhood properties of complex networksA concept of neighborhood in complex networks is addressed based on the criterion of the minimal number os steps to reach other vertices. This amounts to, starting from a given network R1,…R. F. S. Andrade, J. G. V. Miranda, Thierry Petit Lobao·Aug 10, 2005SaveLearn
The network of concepts in written textsComplex network theory is used to investigate the structure of meaningful concepts in written texts of individual authors. Networks have been constructed after a two phase filtering, where words with…Silvia M. G. Caldeira, Thierry C. Petit Lobao, R. F. S. Andrade et al.·Aug 10, 2005SaveLearn
Studies of Boosted Decision Trees for MiniBooNE Particle IdentificationBoosted decision trees are applied to particle identification in the MiniBooNE experiment operated at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory (Fermilab) for neutrino oscillations. Numerous attempts are…Hai-Jun Yang, Byron P. Roe, Ji Zhu·Aug 8, 2005SaveLearn
On Consistent and Calibrated Inference about the Parameters of Sampling DistributionsThe theory of probability, based on very general rules referred to as the Cox-Polya-Jaynes Desiderata, can be used both as a theory of random mass phenomena and as a quantitative theory of plausible…Tomaz Podobnik, Tomi Zivko·Aug 2, 2005SaveLearn
Optimization of Signal Significance by Bagging Decision TreesAn algorithm for optimization of signal significance or any other classification figure of merit suited for analysis of high energy physics (HEP) data is described. This algorithm trains decision…I. Narsky·Jul 21, 2005SaveLearn
StatPatternRecognition: A C++ Package for Statistical Analysis of High Energy Physics DataModern analysis of high energy physics (HEP) data needs advanced statistical tools to separate signal from background. A C++ package has been implemented to provide such tools for the HEP community.…I. Narsky·Jul 20, 2005SaveLearn
Financial Applications of Random Matrix Theory: Old Laces and New PiecesThis contribution to the proceedings of the Cracow meeting on `Applications of Random Matrix Theory' summarizes a series of studies, some old and others more recent on financial applications of…M. Potters, J. P. Bouchaud, L. Laloux·Jul 14, 2005SaveLearn
Ab initio yield curve dynamicsWe derive an equation of motion for interest-rate yield curves by applying a minimum Fisher information variational approach to the implied probability density. By construction, solutions to the…Raymond J. Hawkins, B. Roy Frieden, Joseph L. D'Anna·Jul 13, 2005SaveLearn
Improvement of speech recognition by nonlinear noise reductionThe success of nonlinear noise reduction applied to a single channel recording of human voice is measured in terms of the recognition rate of a commercial speech recognition program in comparison to…Krzysztof Urbanowicz, Holger Kantz·Jul 6, 2005SaveLearn
The pulsing CPSD method for subcritical assemblies with pulsed sourcesStochastic neutron transport theory is applied to the derivation of the two-neutron-detectors cross power spectral density for subcritical assemblies when external pulsed sources are used. A general…Daniel Ballester, Jose L. Munoz-Cobo·Jun 21, 2005SaveLearn
Estimation of coupling between oscillators from short time series via phase dynamics modeling: limitations and application to EEG dataWe demonstrate in numerical experiments that estimators of strength and directionality of coupling between oscillators based on modeling of their phase dynamics [D.A. Smirnov and B.P. Bezruchko,…D. A. Smirnov, M. B. Bodrov, J. L. Perez Velazquez et al.·Jun 13, 2005SaveLearn
Sampling errors of correlograms with and without sample mean removal for higher-order complex white noise with arbitrary meanWe derive the bias, variance, covariance, and mean square error of the standard lag windowed correlogram estimator both with and without sample mean removal for complex white noise with an arbitrary…T. D. Carozzi, A. M. Buckley·Jun 5, 2005SaveLearn
Sifting data in the real worldIn the real world, experimental data are rarely, if ever, distributed as a normal (Gaussian) distribution. As an example, a large set of data--such as the cross sections for particle scattering as a…Martin M. Block·Jun 1, 2005SaveLearn
A New Technique for Finding Needles in Haystacks: A Geometric Approach to Distinguishing Between a New Source and Random FluctuationsWe propose a new test statistic based on a score process for determining the statistical significance of a putative signal that may be a small perturbation to a noisy experimental background. We…Ramani S. Pilla, Catherine Loader, Cyrus Taylor·May 29, 2005SaveLearn
Reconstruction of an object from its symmetry-averaged diffraction patternBy suitably generalizing the Fourier constraint projection in the difference map phasing algorithm, an object can be reconstructed from its diffraction pattern even when the latter has been…Veit Elser·May 25, 2005SaveLearn
Deriving the sampling errors of correlograms for general white noiseWe derive the second-order sampling properties of certain autocovariance and autocorrelation estimators for sequences of independent and identically distributed samples. Specifically, the estimators…T. D. Carozzi, A. M. Buckley·May 20, 2005SaveLearn
No need to blur the pictureA formalism specifying efficient, "emergent" descriptions of experimental systems is developed. It does not depend on an a priori assumption of limited available data.Axel G. Rossberg·May 4, 2005SaveLearn
On the limits of spectral methods for frequency estimationAn algorithm is presented which generates pairs of oscillatory random time series which have identical periodograms but differ in the number of oscillations. This result indicate the intrinsic…A. G. Rossberg·May 4, 2005SaveLearn
Quantum Fluctuations of a Coulomb Potential as a Source of Flicker NoiseThe power spectrum of quantum fluctuations of the electromagnetic field produced by an elementary particle is determined. It is found that in a wide range of practically important frequencies the…Kirill A. Kazakov·Apr 24, 2005SaveLearn